Journal of Vascular Surgery
Volume 49, Issue 4 , Pages 838-844 , April 2009

Predicting 1-year mortality after elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

  • Adam W. Beck, MD

      Affiliations

    • Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center Department of Surgery, Section of Vascular Surgery, Lebanon, NH
  • ,
  • Philip P. Goodney, MD

      Affiliations

    • Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center Department of Surgery, Section of Vascular Surgery, Lebanon, NH
  • ,
  • Brian W. Nolan, MD

      Affiliations

    • Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center Department of Surgery, Section of Vascular Surgery, Lebanon, NH
  • ,
  • Donald S. Likosky, PhD

      Affiliations

    • Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center Department of Surgery, Section of Vascular Surgery, Lebanon, NH
    • Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Center for Leadership and Improvement, Lebanon, NH
  • ,
  • Jens Eldrup-Jorgensen, MD

      Affiliations

    • Maine Medical Center, Portland, Me
  • ,
  • Jack L. Cronenwett, MD

      Affiliations

    • Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center Department of Surgery, Section of Vascular Surgery, Lebanon, NH
    • Corresponding Author InformationReprint requests: Jack L. Cronenwett, MD, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, One Medical Center Drive, Lebanon, NH 03756
  • ,
  • Vascular Study Group of Northern New England

Received 14 July 2008 ,Accepted 29 October 2008.

  • Image Result

    Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrating 1-year survival after open and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).

    Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrating 1-year survival after open and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).

  • Image Result

    Predicted mortality at 1 year after open aneurysm repair stratified by risk factor combinations.

    Predicted mortality at 1 year after open aneurysm repair stratified by risk factor combinations.

  • Image Result

    Predicted and actual 1-year mortality rates based on the number of risk factors identified after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair (A) and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) (B).

    Predicted and actual 1-year mortality rates based on the number of risk factors identified after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair (A) and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) (B).

  • Image Result

    Kaplan-Meier curve demonstrating 1-year survival after open aneurysm repair stratified by risk factor groups.

    Kaplan-Meier curve demonstrating 1-year survival after open aneurysm repair stratified by risk factor groups.

  • Image Result

    AAA diameter at time of repair (and estimated annual rupture risk) (gray bars) compared with predicted 1-year mortality after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair (black bars) as a function of

    AAA diameter at time of repair (and estimated annual rupture risk) (gray bars) compared with predicted 1-year mortality after open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair (black bars) as a function of number of risk factors present for mortality after open repair, and rupture risk as a function of diameter estimated by the authors based on relevant literature.

 This project was funded in part by The Department of Health and Human Services Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) under Cooperative Agreement Award number 18-C-91674/1/01 awarded to the Trustees of Dartmouth College.

 Competition of interest: none.

PII: S0741-5214(08)01880-6

doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2008.10.067

Journal of Vascular Surgery
Volume 49, Issue 4 , Pages 838-844 , April 2009